Wednesday, September 10, 2014
Monday, September 1, 2014
Reddit All-Stars Fantasy Football League Draft Recap
This season I invited a handful of my fellow FantasyBros and top contributors over at reddit's r/fantasyfootball to join a 12-team .5PPR league.
We drafted this past Monday. Here is a link to our Draft Recap Post located in our new subreddit r/ffallstars. Feel free to stop by there any time with questions or discussion!
Cheers,
Reid
We drafted this past Monday. Here is a link to our Draft Recap Post located in our new subreddit r/ffallstars. Feel free to stop by there any time with questions or discussion!
Cheers,
Reid
Friday, August 29, 2014
Late Round RB Values
Gio @ 2.06 or Hill @ 9.12? Spiller @ 4.02 or FJax @ 7.10? TRich @ 6.04 or Bradshaw @ 11.10? I'm going for the late value every time, here.
— TheReidOption (@TheReidOption) August 30, 2014
If you go RB early and WR heavy mid-rounds I'd target these RBs Late: Round 7-MJD/FJax 8-Hyde 9-Hill/West/Ingram 10-AWilliams 11-Bradshaw
— TheReidOption (@TheReidOption) August 30, 2014
Wednesday, August 27, 2014
Where to target later-round QBs on ESPN
I've got a couple of ESPN fantasy drafts under my belt. A question came up today on reddit as to when people should be targeting later-round QBs. The truth is, ESPN is very low on a number of players.
Check out my posting on reddit to see where I recommend taking Matt Ryan, Tom Brady, Tony Romo, Russell Wilson and Philip Rivers based on ESPN vs. Actual ADP data.
Also, be sure to utilize FantasyPros Dissenting Opinions: Football Rankings tool to mine for value and take advantage of players in your league who will be relying on default rankings.
Check out my posting on reddit to see where I recommend taking Matt Ryan, Tom Brady, Tony Romo, Russell Wilson and Philip Rivers based on ESPN vs. Actual ADP data.
Also, be sure to utilize FantasyPros Dissenting Opinions: Football Rankings tool to mine for value and take advantage of players in your league who will be relying on default rankings.
Tuesday, August 19, 2014
Saturday, August 2, 2014
Building your team around Jimmy Graham (PPR)
This question popped up on reddit this afternoon, so I decided to dive in and have a look. My official response here:
Great question.
I've got the #6 pick in my standard league, so I've been toying with different strategies (up to an including taking Graham - though I believe this is too early to do so in standard). Using FFC's Scenario Calculator[1] , we can walk through your first 4 picks in PPR and see who's available. Note, MyRank based on 12-team 1PPR QB 2RB 2WR 1Flex 1TE
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2.06[2]
| Player | %Avail | MyRank | ECR[3] | MyOverall | ECRoverall |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arian Foster | 43% | RB9 | RB10 | 11 | 17 |
| Marshawn Lynch | 51% | RB10 | RB11 | 13 | 19 |
| LeVeon Bell | 63% | RB11 | RB9 | 14 | 16 |
| Giovani Bernard | 66% | RB7 | RB8 | 7 | 13 |
| Antonio Brown | 79% | WR4 | WR7 | 17 | 18 |
| Jordy Nelson | 87% | WR9 | WR8 | 35 | 21 |
Who I'd take: Giovani Bernard, Arian Foster, Marshawn Lynch. I'd really prefer to lock up an RB1 after spending a first rounder on Jimmy (who in some respects can be thought of as your WR1 in the TE slot).
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3.07[4]
| Player | %Avail | MyRank | ECR[5] | MyOverall | ECRoverall |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reggie Bush | 56% | RB16 | RB15 | 24 | 27 |
| Pierre Garcon | 60% | WR14 | WR11 | 51 | 26 |
| C.J. Spiller | 71% | RB19 | RB17 | 27 | 38 |
| Alfred Morris | 73% | RB18 | RB19 | 26 | 42 |
| Keenan Allen | 74% | WR11 | WR15 | 47 | 36 |
| Zac Stacy | 81% | RB14 | RB13 | 22 | 24 |
| Victor Cruz | 89% | WR17 | WR14 | 58 | 33 |
| Shane Vereen | 92% | RB17 | RB16 | 25 | 37 |
| Vincent Jackson | 91% | WR13 | WR13 | 49 | 49 |
| Andre Johnson | 90% | WR12 | WR12 | 48 | 48 |
Who I'd take: I'd probably be leaning towards a wideout after going TE, RB in the first two rounds, but the RB2 talent here is just too much to pass up. RB also has the most positional scarcity and is hardest to replace on the wire, so I wouldn't feel terrible using 2/3 of my first picks on a running back. I would take Stacy if he fell, or be perfectly happy with Bush, Vereen or Morris.
.
4.06[6]
I'm definitely looking to take a wideout after going TE-RB-RB, so I'm going to save time by only listing the available WRs:
| Player | %Avail | MyRank | ECR[7] | MyOverall | ECRoverall |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wes Welker | 49% | WR23 | WR17 | 66 | 41 |
| Roddy White | 52% | WR15 | WR16 | 54 | 40 |
| Larry Fitzgerald | 72% | WR16 | WR18 | 55 | 43 |
| Cordarrelle Patterson | 76% | WR22 | WR23 | 65 | 51 |
| Michael Crabtree | 85% | WR22 | WR19 | 64 | 45 |
| Percy Harvin | 90% | WR20 | WR26 | 63 | 58 |
Who I'd take: Roddy White or Larry Fitzgerald. I'd then try to load up my next picks with WRs like Kendall Wright and Michael Floyd.
Ranking the RB Handcuffs
Rob Krattiger of Sports Porch and I got into a little discussion about the most valuable running back handcuffs on Reddit this evening. Here's where I place them.
Terrance West
MyRank RB38, ADP RB35 (7.11) (-3) - Not sure West counts as a true "handcuff", as most people expect him to be the starter for at least some point. I'm a little lower on him than consensus, so he probably won't be on a lot of my teams unless he slips a little.
.
Ahmad Bradshaw
MyRank RB42, ADP RB51 (12.10) (+9) - I'm higher on Bradshaw by the exact amount I am lower on TRich, whos middling play last year made Donald Brown look like a star. Unlike West who you have to take in the 7th, I can easily snag Bradshaw in the 12th round, a huge steal for me.
.
Carlos Hyde
MyRank RB42, ADP RB46 (10.08) (+4) - Hyde has a clear path to backup RB duties for the run-heavy 49ers, who have one of the oldest worhorse backs in the NFL. We've been saying this for a while, but Frank Gore won't be around forever. Hyde is a must-stash in the tenth for the Gore owner.
.
Devonta Freeman
MyRank RB45 ADP RB45 (10.02) (0) - Unlike Hyde, Freeman runs behind a much more injury prone back in Steven Jackson, who is already nursing a hammy and will likely miss the pre-season. Freeman has an excellent shot at starting this year. My concern here is that the Falcons might use their smaller backs Freeman (5'8'/206) and incumbent Jacquizz Rodgers (5'6'/196) in a timeshare should Jackson (6'2'/240) miss serious time. If you want Freeman on your team, you'll need to take him in the 9th, which seems a shade pricey to me.
.
Christine Michael
MyRank RB48, ADP RB44 (10.01) *(-3) - Between Hyde, Freeman and Michael, I actually have Michael ranked the lowest, mostly because I like the chances of the other two starting more than I like the chances of Beast Mode (who is still only 28) actually going down. That said, Michael is a must-own for the Lynch owner, and will cost you your 9th round pick.
.
Lance Dunbar
MyRank RB49, ADP RB56 (13.11) (+7) - DeMarco Murray has missed 16 games in the last 3 years, so opportunity seems likely. The Cowboys seem set to run the ball more behind an improved offensive line, which also bodes well. Dunbar has been impressing in camp, and makes a great depth add at a bargain basement 13th round cost.
.
Bernard Pierce
MyRank RB50, ADP RB36 (8.06) (-14) - Yeah... I'm not high on Pierce, in large part because in relief of Rice last year he was actually worse than Ray! The suspension of the Ravens' main back is also only 2 games, so I'm not confident in the workload. Also, with these types of deep-RB picks I like to target players who might "pop". Pierce is not that player. We've seen him. He fizzled.
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